The overall market for Gigabit and above connectors and cable assemblies is expected to top $9.4 billion in 2014. The largest market by far is Ethernet. While 40G Ethernet ports are now mainstream, 100G is just starting to be implemented in LANs. With a double-digit 5-year CAGR, 100G connector products and cable assemblies are anticipated to show significant growth, while sales of connector products and assemblies used in Gigabit Ethernet applications will decline significantly. Is your company prepared for this change? This new report will help your company prepare for this exciting and challenging time. Details of the new report, table of contents and ordering information can be found on Electronics.ca Publications" web site. View the report: Multi-Gigabit Datacom Connectors and Cable Assemblies Market.
Electronics.ca Publications is a world-class research network and publishing company whose focus is technology and market research for the electronics industry.
Tuesday, November 18, 2014
Market for Gigabit and Above Connectors and Cable Assemblies is Expected to Top $9.4 Billion in 2014
Monday, November 17, 2014
Soaring Sales of Consumer Electronic Devices Drives Growth in the Consumer Batteries Market
ELECTRONICS.CA PUBLICATIONS announces the availability of a comprehensive global report on Consumer Batteries markets. Global market for Consumer Batteries is projected to reach US$40.8 billion by 2020, driven by booming sales of consumer electronic devices and technology innovation in battery chemistries.
Market Research Report on Consumer Batteries
Batteries are ubiquitous energy storage devices that find application as an indispensable power source in consumer electronic products like home electronics, mobile devices, hearing aids, video game controls, cordless phones, camcorders, and cameras among others. Robust market for mobile phones and other digital consumer electronic products holds great potential for batteries. Arrival of numerous power hungry consumer electronic devices is spelling opportunities for efficient and long-lasting batteries. Demand in the market will continue to be fueled by the development of technologically advanced products, such as 3D TVs, smart remotes, tablets, and mobile phones.
Data hungry and energy-hogging consumer electronics will provide battery manufacturers with recurring sales and opportunities. Battery manufacturers are therefore focusing resources on researching and developing battery systems capable of meeting the ever growing power requirements of the digital world. Development of newer battery chemistries promises to bring in improvements in performance, reliability, durability, and efficiency. Growing need for high performance integrated battery solutions for use in rugged mobile computing platforms is additionally driving investments in R&D.
Secondary batteries, comprising Nickel Cadmium (NiCad), Nickel Metal Hydride (NiMH), and Lithium-Ion (Li-ion) based batteries,ominate the market. Given their varying technological lineage, the market prospects for each of these technologies differ substantially. NiCad battery technology is weighed down by environmental concerns over cadmium toxicity in addition to facing stiff competitive threat from other advanced competing technologies. Market shares of NiCad and Ni-MH are expected to gradually decline, as adoption of Li-ion increases. Additionally, NiCd and Ni-MH are also expected to feel the heat of the arrival of new chemistries such as Nickel-zinc and Silver-zinc in the market. Large-area polymer batteries and wide prismatic batteries exhibit strong growth prospects on the back of accelerating demand for high-end IT products such as smartphones, tablet PCs and ultrabooks, which require slim, lightweight and high-capacity batteries.
Lithium-ion is the most exciting battery chemistry in the market with growth supported by growing demand for portable consumer products. The expanding base of smartphone users worldwide is expected to especially benefit the market. With “innovation” becoming a key driver of growth, manufacturers are investing heavily in the development of smaller and thinner Li-Ion batteries. In the primary batteries market, long-term growth is forecast to be led by the transition from Zinc-carbon to alkaline.
As stated by the new market research report on Consumer Batteries, Asia-Pacific represents the largest and the fastest growing market worldwide. Growth in the region is led by China. China is currently the largest producer and one of the leading consumers of Li-ion batteries globally. The United States represents the second largest market with growth supported by continuous upgrades and innovations in product design, and strong replacement demand.
Major players in the market include Battery Technologies Inc., BYD Company Ltd., Electrochem Automation Inc., Energizer Holdings Inc., FDK Corp., GP Batteries International Ltd., Hitachi Maxell Ltd., Jiangmen TWD Technology Co. Ltd., LG Chem Co. Ltd., Panasonic Corp., Sanyo Electric Company Ltd., Procter & Gamble Company, Samsung SDI Co. Ltd., Sony Corp., Spectrum Brands Inc., VARTA Consumer Batteries GmbH & Co. KgaA, Tronic Technology Global Ltd., and Ultralife Batteries Inc., among others.
The research report titled “Consumer Batteries – Global Strategic Business Report”, provides a comprehensive review of market trends, growth drivers, new product introductions, and other strategic industry activities of major global players. The report provides market estimates and projections in US dollars for all major geographic markets including US, Canada, Japan, Europe (France, Germany, Italy, UK, Spain, Russia, and Rest of Europe), Asia-Pacific (China, India, South Korea, and Rest of Asia-Pacific), Middle East, and Latin America (Brazil and Rest of Latin America). Product markets analyzed include Primary Batteries (Zinc Carbon, Alkaline, and Primary Lithium) and Secondary Batteries (Nickel Cadmium, Nickel Metal Hydride, Lithium Ion, and Other secondary batteries).
Details of the new report, table of contents and ordering information can be found on Electronics.ca Publications’ web site. View Complete Report Details: “Consumer Batteries – Global Strategic Business Report“
Soaring Sales of Consumer Electronic Devices Drives Growth in the Consumer Batteries Market
Competition for Graphene: Researchers Demonstrate Ultrafast Charge Transfer in New Family of 2-D Semiconductors
A new argument has just been added to the growing case for graphene being bumped off its pedestal as the next big thing in the high-tech world by the two-dimensional semiconductors known as MX2 materials.Illustration of a MoS2/WS2 heterostructure with a MoS2 monolayer lying on top of a WS2 monolayer. Electrons and holes created by light are shown to separate into different layers. (Image courtesy of Feng Wang group)
An international collaboration of researchers led by a scientist with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab) has reported the first experimental observation of ultrafast charge transfer in photo-excited MX2 materials. The recorded charge transfer time clocked in at under 50 femtoseconds, comparable to the fastest times recorded for organic photovoltaics.
“We’ve demonstrated, for the first time, efficient charge transfer in MX2 heterostructures through combined photoluminescence mapping and transient absorption measurements,” says Feng Wang, a condensed matter physicist with Berkeley Lab’s Materials Sciences Division and the University of California (UC) Berkeley’s Physics Department. “Having quantitatively determined charge transfer time to be less than 50 femtoseconds, our study suggests that MX2 heterostructures, with their remarkable electrical and optical properties and the rapid development of large-area synthesis, hold great promise for future photonic and optoelectronic applications.”
Wang is the corresponding author of a paper in Nature Nanotechnology describing this research. The paper is titled “Ultrafast charge transfer in atomically thin MoS2/WS2 heterostructures.” Co-authors are Xiaoping Hong, Jonghwan Kim, Su-Fei Shi, Yu Zhang, Chenhao Jin, Yinghui Sun, Sefaattin Tongay, Junqiao Wu and Yanfeng Zhang.
MX2 monolayers consist of a single layer of transition metal atoms, such as molybdenum (Mo) or tungsten (W), sandwiched between two layers of chalcogen atoms, such as sulfur (S). The resulting heterostructure is bound by the relatively weak intermolecular attraction known as the van der Waals force. These 2D semiconductors feature the same hexagonal “honeycombed” structure as graphene and superfast electrical conductance, but, unlike graphene, they have natural energy band-gaps. This facilitates their application in transistors and other electronic devices because, unlike graphene, their electrical conductance can be switched off.
“Combining different MX2 layers together allows one to control their physical properties,” says Wang, who is also an investigator with the Kavli Energy NanoSciences Institute (Kavli-ENSI). “For example, the combination of MoS2 and WS2 forms a type-II semiconductor that enables fast charge separation. The separation of photoexcited electrons and holes is essential for driving an electrical current in a photodetector or solar cell.”
In demonstrating the ultrafast charge separation capabilities of atomically thin samples of MoS2/WS2 heterostructures, Wang and his collaborators have opened up potentially rich new avenues, not only for photonics and optoelectronics, but also for photovoltaics.
“MX2 semiconductors have extremely strong optical absorption properties and compared with organic photovoltaic materials, have a crystalline structure and better electrical transport properties,” Wang says. “Factor in a femtosecond charge transfer rate and MX2 semiconductors provide an ideal way to spatially separate electrons and holes for electrical collection and utilization.”
Wang and his colleagues are studying the microscopic origins of charge transfer in MX2 heterostructures and the variation in charge transfer rates between different MX2 materials.
“We’re also interested in controlling the charge transfer process with external electrical fields as a means of utilizing MX2 heterostructures in photovoltaic devices,” Wang says.
Image: Illustration of a MoS2/WS2 heterostructure with a MoS2 monolayer lying on top of a WS2 monolayer. Electrons and holes created by light are shown to separate into different layers. (Image courtesy of Feng Wang group)
Additional Information
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory addresses the world’s most urgent scientific challenges by advancing sustainable energy, protecting human health, creating new materials, and revealing the origin and fate of the universe. Founded in 1931, Berkeley Lab’s scientific expertise has been recognized with 13 Nobel prizes. The University of California manages Berkeley Lab for the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Science. For more, visit www.lbl.gov. – See more at: http://newscenter.lbl.gov/2014/08/26/competition-for-graphene/#sthash.BDDE2o1L.dpuf
Learn more about semiconductor market and publications that provide informed perspective and relevant analysis of emergent technologies.
Competition for Graphene: Researchers Demonstrate Ultrafast Charge Transfer in New Family of 2-D Semiconductors
Global Market for Biometric Technology to Reach $27.5 billion by 2019
ELECTRONICS.CA PUBLICATIONS announces the availability of a comprehensive global report on Biometric Technology and Global Markets. New report studies the global as well as regional markets for biometric technologies and devices, with a view to locate newer markets and to expand the present application market for various types of biometric devices. A realistic forecast has been made for the future market for different types of biometric technologies and devices. These biometric technologies and products are studied, with attention to their value globally, as well as in different regions, during the last three years and forecasted for the next five years. The application for each type of biometric technology is discussed in detail with a view to establishing global as well as regional usage. A future forecast has been made for such applications.
Biometric technologies are becoming the foundation for an extensive array of highly secure identification and personal verification solutions. A rapidly evolving technology widely used in forensics for criminal identification and in prison security, biometrics is quickly finding widespread application in a range of industries, including medicine, science, robotics, engineering, manufacturing, and all areas of vertical enterprise businesses. Technological advances, consumer and commercial acceptance and demand of the technology, as well as significant cost reductions across the industry will drive tremendous growth in this market for the foreseeable future.
According to the report, global biometric technologies market was estimated at $8.7 billion in 2013 and is expected to reach nearly $11.2 billion by 2014. The market is projected to grow to nearly $27.5 billion by 2019, and register a five-year compound annual growth rate of 19.8% from 2014 to 2019.
Use this report to:
- Gain an overview of the market for biometric technologies, including fingerprint, face, iris, vein, and voice technologies
- Analyze market trends, with data from 2013, estimates for 2014, and projections of CAGRs through 2019
- Assess variations in the growth of the industry in certain regions
- Evaluate coverage of the competitive landscape, including mergers and acquisitions, collaborations and agreements, and new product development
- Review comprehensive company profiles of major players in the industry
Details of the new report, table of contents and ordering information can be found on Electronics.ca Publications’ web site. View the report: Biometrics:Technologies and Global Markets.
Partial List of Tables
Summary Table : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2019
Table 1 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2019
Table 2 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2019
Table 3 : DISTRIBUTION OF NORTH AMERICAN MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC TECHNOLOGIES BY COUNTRY, THROUGH 2019
Table 4 : DISTRIBUTION OF EUROPEAN MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC TECHNOLOGIES BY COUNTRY, THROUGH 2019
Table 5 : DISTRIBUTION OF ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC TECHNOLOGIES BY COUNTRY, THROUGH 2019
Table 6 : DISTRIBUTION OF REST OF THE WORLD MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC TECHNOLOGIES BY COUNTRY, THROUGH 2019
Table 7 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR FINGERPRINT RECOGNITION TECHNOLOGY, THROUGH 2019
Table 8 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR AUTOMATED FINGERPRINT IDENTIFICATION SYSTEM (AFIS)/LIVE SCAN TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2019
Table 9 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR FACE RECOGNITION TECHNOLOGY, THROUGH 2019
Table 10 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR IRIS RECOGNITION TECHNOLOGY, THROUGH 2019
Table 11 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR VEIN RECOGNITION TECHNOLOGY, THROUGH 2019
Table 12 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR VOICE RECOGNITION TECHNOLOGY, THROUGH 2019
Table 13 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR HAND GEOMETRY TECHNOLOGY, THROUGH 2019
Table 14 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR SIGNATURE RECOGNITION TECHNOLOGY, THROUGH 2019
Table 15 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR EMERGING BIOMETRIC TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2019
Table 16 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 17 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 18 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRIC IDENTIFICATION APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 19 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN IDENTIFICATION APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 20 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN CIVIL IDENTIFICATION APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 21 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN CRIMINAL IDENTIFICATION APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 22 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN CONSUMER IDENTIFICATION APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 23 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN ACCESS CONTROL APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 24 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN ACCESS CONTROL APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 25 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN LOGICAL ACCESS CONTROL APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 26 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN PHYSICAL ACCESS CONTROL APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 27 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN TRANSACTIONAL ACCESS CONTROL APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 28 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN SURVEILLANCE APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 29 : REGIONAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN SURVEILLANCE APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 30 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN MILITARY/BORDER CONTROL APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Table 31 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR BIOMETRICS IN FORENSIC AND LAW ENFORCEMENT APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2019
Global Market for Biometric Technology to Reach $27.5 billion by 2019
Growing Security Concerns & Increasing Construction Activity Drive the Global Electronic Security Systems Market
ELECTRONICS.CA PUBLICATIONS announces the the release of a comprehensive global report on Electronic Security Systems markets. Global market for Electronic Security Systems is forecast to reach US$98.2 billion by 2020 driven by growing safety and security concerns across the globe and rising construction activity. Electronic Security relates to the use of technology and electronic devices for ensuring safety and security of people, property, physical assets and digital infrastructure, by tracking and preventing their unauthorized access.
Rising incidence of security infringements such as terrorist attacks, vandalism, and campus violence is brining electronic security into the spotlight as an integral part of the overall safety and security arrangements made by governments and commercial establishments across the globe. Electronic security systems such as, alarms, electronic access controls systems and CCTV/Video surveillance systems are witnessing steady growth. Although, the government sector continues to remain the largest end-use market for electronic security systems, future growth is forecast to come from increasing deployments in commercial establishments and households, due to heightened perceived threat of criminal activity and terrorism.
Given that majority of electronic security system installations, including alarms, electronic access control systems (EACS) and CCTV/surveillance equipment are carried out at residential, commercial, and office buildings, new building constructions represents a major growth driver in the market. Electronic security system installations have become primary components of building security plans for new housing constructions, commercial buildings such as malls, retail outlets, entertainment centers, new office buildings, government departments, banking and finance, IT and other private offices. While alarms are automatic buy for most new housing constructions, electronic access control system installations such as card-based or biometric access control systems and CCTV/Video surveillance are regular safety systems used in new commercial or office establishments. Construction of new public infrastructure facilities also generates demand for EACS and CCTV/video surveillance systems. Growing construction spends world over therefore augurs well for the future of this market.
The role of technology innovation in driving opportunities in the market cannot be undermined. Given consumers’ appetite for technologically superior, yet cost effective products, advanced security systems such as digital CCTV, IP based video surveillance, remote-monitoring systems, and IP based access control systems, among others, are poised to witness strong growth. Use of advanced cameras with high-mega pixel HD resolution and lowlight capabilities, mobile video recorders and remote display for CCTV/Video Surveillance, and contactless smart cards for access control, is increasing.
As stated by the new market research report on Electronic Security Systems, Asia-Pacific represents the largest and the fastest growing market worldwide with a projected CAGR of 9.5% over the analysis period. Growth in the region is led by stringent safety regulations that mandate installation of advanced security solutions in public spaces such as retail outlets, malls, multiplexes and entertainment centers; development of new urban settlements and townships; expanding commercial real-estate activity in existing urban centers; growth in consumer affluence and income; increase in business and commercial activity and subsequent increase in security spending at residential, commercial and enterprise levels.
Key players covered in the report include Allegion, ASSA ABLOY AB, Axis Communications AB, Bosch Group, Changzhou Minking Electronics Co. Ltd., Diebold Inc., DoorKing Inc., Fermax Electronica S.A.E, Global Security Solutions, Gunnebo AB, Honeywell International Inc., Huviron Co. Ltd., Identive Group Inc., Imprivata® Inc., Johnson Controls Inc., Kaba Group, Linear LLC, March Networks Corporation, NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc., PAC International Ltd., Panasonic Corporation, Schneider Electric, SAFRAN Group, Secom Co. Ltd., SecuGen Corporation, Siemens AG, Sony Electronics Inc., Toshiba America Inc., Tyco International Ltd., United Technologies Corporation, Chubb Fire and Security Limited, Chubb Edwards, Verisure Holdings AB, Vido Electronic Vertriebs Gmbh, and Yoko Technology Corp., among others.
The research report titled “Electronic Security Systems: A Global Strategic Business Report”, provides a comprehensive review of market trends, growth drivers, challenges, mergers, acquisitions and other strategic industry activities of major companies worldwide. Global market estimates and projections are provided in terms of dollars for major geographic markets including the United States, Canada, Japan, Europe (France, Germany, Italy, UK, Spain, Russia, and Rest of Europe), Asia-Pacific (China, India, and Rest of Asia-Pacific), Latin America (Brazil, and Rest of Latin America), and Rest of World. Product Segments analyzed in the report include Alarms, Electronic Access Control Systems, CCTV/Video Surveillance Equipment and Others.
Growing Security Concerns & Increasing Construction Activity Drive the Global Electronic Security Systems Market
Demand for Electronic Computing Devices and Specialized Applications Spur Growth in the Optical Coatings Market
ELECTRONICS.CA PUBLICATIONS announces the availability of a comprehensive global report on Optical Coatings markets. Global market for Optical Coatings is projected to reach US$13.2 billion by 2020, backed by surging demand for electronic computing devices, increased penetration of photovoltaics, and expanding applications for innovative coatings.
Defined as thin layers of materials applied on substrates for enhancing optical performance, optical coatings find use in the manufacture of flat-screen displays and lenses. Surging demand for consumer electronic devices especially smartphones are driving growth in the market, as optical coatings are used in flat screen displays of these products to deliver increased display protection, maximum performance, and yield superior esthetics. The transition to LED lighting is also expected to augur well for the market, as optical coatings are increasingly being used in LEDs to help improve performance. Also, demand from specialized application areas such as Building Integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV) and the optoelectronics sector is anticipated to encourage gains in the market.
Opportunities for growth also exist in the architecture sector, backed by the recovery in the construction industry worldwide. Growing government focus on developing renewable energy sources in the wake of rising energy crisis, and resultant investment in solar /photovoltaic modules, is fostering demand for optical coatings. In addition, usage of optical coatings will continue to grow in the military and defense sector, thanks to steady rise in investments. Growing prominence of fiber-optics technologies in various medical devices for effective diagnosis, monitoring as well as treatment, is buoying adoption of optical coatings in the medical field. Increasing focus on minimally invasive techniques for surgery and adoption of miniature devices, are benefiting demand for innovative coatings. Also driving growth is the increasing penetration of laser systems and ophthalmic lenses. Rising demand for automobiles, particularly in the developing markets, wherein optical coatings are used in displays on vehicle dashboards, also augurs well for the market.
The telecommunications sector is also spurring growth opportunities, thanks to growing demand for fiber optic components. Anti-reflection coatings offer significant durability and adhesion for optical fibers used in this sector. Escalating demand for infrastructure that is energy efficient is also driving the market for antireflection coatings. High quality nanostructure-based antireflection coatings are under development for enhancing the performance of EO/IR sensors and photovoltaic modules.
As stated by the new market research report on Optical Coatings, the United States represents the largest market worldwide, while Asia-Pacific ranks as the fastest growing market with a CAGR of 11.1% over the analysis period. Growth in the region is supported by strong industrial activity, rising disposable incomes, and increased consumption of consumer durables.
Key players covered in the report include Abrisa Technologies, AccuCoat Inc., Align Optics Inc., Andover Corp., Brewer Science Inc., Dontech Inc., Evaporated Coatings Inc., Helia Photonics Ltd., Hoya Corp. USA, JDS Uniphase Corp., Newport Thin Film Laboratory Inc., Optical Coatings Japan, Optics Balzers AG, OptoSigma Corp., Inrad Optics Inc., Princeton Instruments, Quantum Coating Inc., Research Electro-Optics Inc., and Zygo Corp., among others.
The research report titled “Optical Coatings – Global Strategic Business Report”, provides a comprehensive review of market trends, issues, drivers, mergers, acquisitions and other strategic industry activities of major companies worldwide. The report provides market estimates and projections for all major geographic markets including the United States, Canada, Japan, Europe (France, Germany, Italy, UK, Spain, and Rest of Europe), Asia-Pacific (China, and Rest of Asia-Pacific), Latin America (Brazil and Rest of Latin America), and Rest of World. End-use sectors analyzed in the report include Healthcare, Military, Electronics, Transportation, Construction, and Others. Product Types analyzed include Transmissive or Anti-Reflective Coatings, Transparent Electrodes, Reflective Coatings, Filters, and Others.
Details of the new report, table of contents and ordering information can be found on Electronics.ca Publications’ web site. View Complete Report Details: “Optical Coatings – Global Strategic Business Report“.
Friday, November 14, 2014
Worldwide Cellphone Subscriptions Forecast to Exceed Worldwide Population in 2015
However, the “unique” cellphone subscriber base is quickly approaching saturation.
ELECTRONICS.CA PUBLICATIONS announces a new “2015 IC Market Drivers Report” update. The report contains analyses on The Internet of Things, tablet PCs, smartphones, automotive electronics, medical and health systems, wireless networking and many other fast growing electronic systems. An excerpt from this new 500-page report is included in this research bulletin.
One of the most widely reported metrics concerning the cellphone marketplace is the subscriber base. The subscriber base is defined as the number of cellular service subscriptions that exist at a given point in time.
In 2015, the worldwide population is expected to reach 7.4 billion while the number of cellphone subscriptions is forecast to be slightly over 7.5 billion (Figure 1), marking the first time cellphone subscriptions will exceed the worldwide population. In total, the number of cellular subscriptions from 1999-2018 is forecast to have an amazing 19-year CAGR of 16%. It should be noted that in some regions of the world, cellphone subscription penetration rates now greatly exceed 100% of the population (e.g., Russia 185%, Italy 151%, Brazil 141%, Germany 140%, U.K. 128%).
One reason that subscriptions exceed a country’s population is that many users purchase different SIM (Subscriber Identity Module) cards and therefore different phone numbers for cities they often visit (to get cheaper phone rates). Each of these SIM cards is considered another “subscription.” Thus, although the end-of-2014 penetration rate for Russia is expected to be 185%, it is estimated that the true penetration rate (i.e., actual percentage of the population that has a cellphone subscription) will probably be about 70% at the end of this year.
In addition to the effect of SIM cards, there is also an increasing percentage of the population that is carrying two cellphones, typically one for business and one for personal use. Overall, IC Insights currently estimates that there are 4.4 billion unique cellphone users in the world today, representing about 60% of the 7.3 billion worldwide population in 2014.
Worldwide Cellphone Subscriptions Forecast
Figure 1
There is no denying that a total cellular phone subscription forecast of 7.5 billion in 2015 looks impressive. However, as the unique subscriber base in many regions moves toward saturation, the average annual growth rate of unique subscribers is forecast to slow significantly (Figure 2).
The annual increase in unique cellular phone subscribers is believed to have peaked in 2006 at 362 million. Since then, the number of new unique subscribers added to the user base has slowed. IC Insights forecasts that the number of new unique cellular subscribers in 2018 will be only about 100 million, less than one-third of the 362 million subscribers that were added 12 years earlier in 2006.
One trend that will help keep cellphone/smartphone sales strong and partially offset the decline in the growth rate of unique cellular subscribers is the movement of cellphone users to own more than one phone. While multi-phone users are forecast to be a minority portion of the market over the next few years, their numbers will be increasing. In the long run, an increasing number of additional multi-phone cellular subscribers are expected to continue to help boost future cellphone handset sales.
Figure 2
More detailed market forecasts for the total cellphone and smartphone segments through 2018 will be provided in the 2015 IC Market Drivers Report.
NOTE: Electronics.ca Publications is currently taking orders for the 2015 IC Market Drivers Report, which will be released later this month (November 2014). If you need to fully understand the driving forces behind IC market growth, you need to subscribe to the 2015 IC Market Drivers Report.
Worldwide Cellphone Subscriptions Forecast to Exceed Worldwide Population in 2015